XRP and Solana ETFs shine as Bitcoin and Ethereum lag


A sharp divergence emerged in the crypto ETF market this month.

According to SoSo Value data, the new products tracking Solana and XRP are attracting significant capital, contrasting with a severe wave of outflows from established Bitcoin and Ethereum funds.

The data shows that the newly launched altcoin ETFs have registered more than $500 million in combined inflows in less than a month.

These inflows highlight growing investor interest in assets beyond the market leaders.

Solana ETFs, which launched in October, have accumulated $382.05 million in total inflows in just three weeks. The three funds, managed by Grayscale, Bitwise, and VanEck, now oversee combined assets worth more than $541.31 million, according to SoSo Value.

Meanwhile, demand for the newer XRP product has proven similarly robust.

The spot XRP ETF, launched by Canary Capital last week, attracted $250 million in its first day of trading on nearly $60 million in volume.

Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute and President of NovaDius Wealth, highlighted the significance of the product’s performance on X, saying:

“Canary XRP ETF has [posted the] highest day one trading volume out of 900+ ETF launches this year.”

According to him, this was further evidence of how spot crypto ETFs’ performance has consistently and significantly surpassed the expectations of the traditional finance sector.

While he noted that skepticism from the “old guard” of traditional finance remains high, investor capital is the definitive measure of success.

Still, he pointed out that spot crypto ETFs have consistently exceeded expectations and have come to dominate the list of top ETF launches in the last two years.

Bitcoin and Ethereum see major outflows

The enthusiasm for altcoin funds stands in stark contrast to US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs, which recorded significant outflows of more than $3 billion over the three weeks ending Nov. 14.

The redemptions were sustained, beginning with $798 million for the week ending Oct. 31. Outflows then accelerated to $1.2 billion for the week ending Nov. 7, followed by another $1.1 billion shed for the week ending Nov. 14.

US Bitcoin ETF Flows
US Bitcoin ETF Flows (Source: Trader T)

Ethereum ETFs experienced a similar trend, shedding more than $1.2 billion in total during the same period. Following modest inflows of $15 million in the last week of October, the ETH funds experienced significant outflows of more than $500 million and $728 million in the subsequent two weeks.

US Spot Ethereum ETFsUS Spot Ethereum ETFs
US Spot Ethereum ETFs Flows (Source: Trader T)

That amounts to a total of $4.2 billion in outflows across Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs alone.

James Butterfill of CoinShares suggested the recent drawdowns from the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are linked to macro-level concerns.

He wrote:

“We believe the combination of monetary policy uncertainty and crypto-native whale sellers are the main reasons for this most recent negative funk.”

Meanwhile, BlackRock’s funds were responsible for around 50% of the redemptions, with IBIT and ETHA collectively losing more than $2 billion. Nearly $1.4 billion left IBIT, while over $700 million exited ETHA.

During this period, BlackRock’s ETHA registered a $421 million outflow, its largest weekly loss since launching in 2024.

Despite the recent pullback, a Q3 2025 overview of IBIT’s institutional ownership showed a 15% increase in the number of institutional holders. Total institutional ownership rose by 1% to reach 29%, with Sovereign Wealth Fund and UAE ownership at 2.14% and 4.1%, respectively.

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Binance to invest over $4 billion in America if it gets a refund after CZ pardon



Donald Trump’s pardon of Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao removed his remaining criminal exposure while leaving intact the more than $4.3 billion that Binance has already paid to U.S. agencies.

On X, CZ treated the idea of clawing that money back as hypothetical. He replied to a post about a refund with a “delicate question” quip and added that

“IF we get any refund, we will be investing that in America anyway.”

The line landed as a meme, although the underlying issue is concrete: whether a pro-crypto White House could unwind part of the largest enforcement package ever brought against a crypto exchange, and what it would take to do that in practice.

CZ suggested that the company hasn’t asked for a refund, but he isn’t sure, stating,

“Haven’t asked yet, I think🙏.”

$4.3 billion figure isn’t a single refundable pot of money.

The starting point is that the pardon is a personal matter. CZ pleaded guilty in November 2023 to a Bank Secrecy Act violation, agreed to pay a $50 million personal penalty, and stepped down as the CEO of Binance.

He received a four-month sentence and reported to prison in April 2024, finishing his term in September. The Oct. 23 order grants him a full presidential pardon for that federal conviction. It does not name Binance, and it does not, on its face, rewrite the parallel corporate and civil settlements that produced the headline $4.3 billion figure.

Those settlements are a mosaic across at least four agencies. According to the Justice Department, Binance agreed to forfeit about $2.51 billion and pay a criminal fine of about $1.81 billion, for a total of roughly $4.316 billion in the criminal case.

The DOJ credited around $1.8 billion of that amount toward parallel resolutions with the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, the Office of Foreign Assets Control, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and imposed a three-year compliance monitorship.

Treasury layered additional orders on top. FinCEN issued a $3.4 billion civil monetary penalty, a five-year monitoring requirement, and a mandate that Binance’s core exchange exit the U.S. market.

OFAC added a $968.6 million sanctions settlement with its own five-year sanctions compliance monitor. The CFTC obtained a court order for $2.7 billion, split between a $1.35 billion penalty and $1.35 billion in disgorgement, plus a $150 million civil penalty against CZ personally.

In practical terms, the Binance package can be summarized as follows.

Agency Type Amount (approx.) Who pays
DOJ Criminal forfeiture + fine $4.316 billion Binance corporate
FinCEN Civil penalty $3.4 billion Binance corporate
OFAC Sanctions settlement $968.6 million Binance corporate
CFTC Disgorgement + penalty $2.7 billion Binance corporate
CFTC Civil penalty $150 million CZ personally

The numbers overlap since DOJ credited some amounts toward the Treasury and CFTC resolutions.

The broader point is that “the $4.3 billion fine” is not one pot of money waiting in a single account to be wired back.

It is a set of criminal and civil obligations across separate institutions, each with its own consent order and court record.

What a pardon can, and can’t, undo under U.S. law.

Constitutionally, the pardon power is broad for federal crimes, but it is not an all-purpose reset button.

The U.S. Constitution notes that a pardon can eliminate criminal penalties for an individual offense, including prison time and certain unpaid fines.

Yet it does not automatically vacate a conviction or retroactively nullify every consequence that flowed from it, according to the Legal Information Institute. The Justice Department distinguishes pardons from other forms of clemency, including commutations, remissions of fines, and reprieves.

A standard “full pardon” is not the same legal instrument as an explicit remission of fines.

Even when the White House does remit fines, U.S. practice focuses on amounts that are still unpaid. Legal commentary on clemency history characterizes remission as relief from outstanding criminal financial penalties rather than a mechanism for cash refunds once money has left the defendant and entered the Treasury.

That distinction goes back to nineteenth-century Supreme Court doctrine. In Knote v. United States, a 1877 case involving proceeds from seized property, the Court held that a pardon or amnesty does not entitle the recipient to reclaim funds already paid into the U.S. Treasury.

The opinion states that “moneys once in the treasury can only be withdrawn by an appropriation by law,” meaning an act of Congress, according to Justia.

Whatever the scope of the pardon power, it stops short of ordering the Treasury to cut a check with no legislative appropriation.

Modern courts have applied similar logic. After the first wave of Jan. 6 cases, some defendants who received clemency tried to recover fines or restitution that had already been collected.

Federal judges rejected those efforts, stressing that a pardon does not make the original conviction or the payment “erroneous” and that it does not create a right to reimbursement.

How CZ’s Personal Pardon Interacts With Binance’s Corporate Penalties.

Applied to Binance, the strict legal view looks straightforward. CZ’s pardon covers his personal criminal case.

It does not, by default, unwind the corporate guilty plea Binance entered in the DOJ matter, and it does not reach the civil and administrative penalties imposed by FinCEN, OFAC, and the CFTC.

Monetary obligations that have already been paid and booked into the Treasury or court-administered funds sit on the other side of the Knote line. To reverse those transfers, Congress would need to authorize the transfer of funds from the Treasury back to Binance or a related entity.

Where a Trump administration could retain room to maneuver is around the edges of what has not yet happened.

First, the president could issue additional clemency documents that expressly remit any remaining criminal fines or forfeitures still unpaid for CZ.

He could also test the theory that a corporation can be a recipient of clemency and attempt a remission order in Binance’s name, drawing on sparse historical precedent compiled in congressional research.

Second, the White House could instruct DOJ and Treasury to renegotiate or soften the existing consent orders. Court-approved settlements can be modified if both parties agree and the modification is approved by a judge.

In Binance’s case, that could involve shortening or terminating the DOJ monitorship, which is already the subject of talks about an early end.

FinCEN and OFAC could make similar moves on their five-year monitorships or adjust the “complete US exit” language that currently constrains Binance’s strategy.

Those kinds of tweaks would not generate a literal refund, yet they would have financial consequences that resemble one. A shorter monitorship and a more flexible U.S. perimeter reduce compliance overhead, freeing up capital and management bandwidth.

Agencies could also “over-credit” past payments when resolving any future issues with Binance entities, treating earlier penalties as more than sufficient under a friendlier enforcement philosophy.

How a refund could unfold under a Trump administration.

The most aggressive scenario would combine clemency with legislation. Trump could issue remissions of fines for CZ and, to the extent courts accept it, for Binance, and then support an appropriations rider that authorizes the Treasury to return a portion of the collected penalties to Binance or to a vehicle framed as a U.S. innovation fund.

Such a move would honor Knote’s requirement for an appropriation while turning the Binance resolution into a political instrument.

Any step in that direction would invite scrutiny of money flows between Binance and ventures tied to the Trump family.

That loop already exists. Abu Dhabi-backed fund MGX committed $2 billion to Binance in 2025 using USD1, a stablecoin issued by World Liberty Financial, the Trump family’s DeFi and stablecoin project.

A refund or quasi-refund of public enforcement proceeds to Binance would feed into an ecosystem in which Trump-linked crypto businesses are active counterparties.

For U.S. crypto enforcement, even the act of asking for relief would matter.

The Binance resolution served as a showcase AML and sanctions case in the prior administration, with public messaging that framed it as a model for cleaning up offshore exchanges, according to the original DOJ release and Treasury’s description of the FinCEN order as its largest virtual asset settlement, referenced in earlier coverage.

Under Trump 2.0, analysis from firms such as Galaxy Digital and the law firm Pillsbury describes a tilt toward “clarity over crackdowns,” with a greater emphasis on rulemaking and less on headline enforcement.

How DOJ and Treasury might respond to a Binance refund push.

If Binance formally pursues a refund or remission, the DOJ and Treasury would have to decide whether to publicly reiterate that the money is final or acknowledge that past deals can be reopened when political priorities change.

Other large defendants, from stablecoin issuers to U.S. exchanges, will be watching that signal when they gauge how aggressively to pursue their own cases and how to time any settlements that are still on the horizon.

Globally, a Binance refund would diverge from how prior AML and sanctions mega-cases have played out in traditional finance. Large banks that paid multibillion-dollar penalties for sanctions lapses or weak controls did not receive refunds when governments changed hands.

A reversal in Binance’s case would raise questions for partners that have treated the U.S. sanctions and AML regime as a global anchor. FATF peers and regulators in Europe and Asia could respond by tightening their own oversight of U.S. venues if they conclude that U.S. enforcement outcomes can be re-traded through domestic politics.

From CZ’s perspective, the pardon already delivers tangible benefits: freedom of movement, closure on his criminal case, and the opportunity to rebuild his public role around Binance’s next phase.

The meme version of “refund the fine” may circulate on X. The legal version would require fresh White House action, cooperation from multiple agencies, and, for any material return of cash already in the Treasury, congressional buy-in.

For now, the Binance settlement remains on the books as the crypto sector’s largest penalty, and the money is staying with the U.S. government.

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Bitcoin miners can lower your power bill — if energy grids let them plug in


Power markets are starting to price Bitcoin mining that can switch on and off as a grid service.

Curtailment remains elevated in regions with high renewable penetration, and short scarcity bursts continue to set value for fast demand reduction, which creates room for load that soaks midday surplus and idles during tight hours.

According to the California Independent System Operator, 179,640 megawatt-hours (MWh) of wind and solar energy were curtailed in September 2025. Market data in Europe and Asia show wider windows of negative or low daytime prices, which strengthens the case for flexible demand to complement storage and transmission buildouts.

Even after the recent crash, today’s spot hashprice is roughly $39/PH/day, and mining revenue continues to exceed typical power costs for well-managed fleets using efficient hardware and favourable power contracts.

This suggests the economic lane for demand-response (i.e., flexibly scaling operations around power pricing) remains open rather than closing.

That said, fleets with higher power costs or less efficient machines will face tighter margins, especially given the recent drop in BTC prices.

According to Hashrate Index, the six-month forward average is expected to dip to around $35 by April next year.

Bitcoin hashprice (Source: Hashprice Index)
Bitcoin hashprice (Source: Hashprice Index)

More intuitively, a 17.5 J/TH machine draws roughly 17.5 kW per PH. That means each PH consumes about 0.42 MWh per day, so a $39 hashprice equates to roughly $93/MWh in gross revenue.

That breakeven band sets the “max price to run” (before accounting for ancillary payments or hedging strategies that may justify running above that level.)

Loads can run below the threshold and should sell flexibility or switch off above it.

To make the comparison explicit, the table below shows a simplified view of miner gross revenue per MWh across two reference hashprices at a common modern efficiency.

Efficiency (J/TH) Hashprice ($/PH·day) Gross revenue ($/MWh) Implied breakeven power price ($/MWh) before opex
17.5 39 ≈93 ≈93
17.5 35 ≈83 ≈83

After accounting for typical site overhead, cooling losses, and pool fees, the practical cutoff for many miners is closer to $70–$85 per MWh. Above that band, fleets begin shutting down unless they have unusually efficient hardware or hedged power.

Flexible load is not only an energy buyer, but it can also be a reliability product.

ERCOT allows qualified Controllable Load Resources to participate in real-time and ancillary markets, paying the same clearing price as generation for Regulation, ECRS, and Non-Spin services.

That framework pays mines for fast load reductions during scarcity in addition to the avoided cost of not running at high prices. ERCOT’s market design keeps scarcity events sharp but bounded, with a system-wide offer cap at $5,000 per MWh and an Emergency Pricing Program that lowers the cap to $2,000 per MWh after 12 hours at the high cap within 24 hours.

This preserves acute price signals while limiting tail risk, which supports the economics of price-responsive curtailment.

Policy is shifting from permissive to performance based, and Texas is the test case. Texas Senate Bill 6, enacted in 2025, directs PUCT and ERCOT to tighten interconnection and require participation in curtailment or demand management for specific large loads of 75 MW and above, and to review netting when large loads co-locate with generation.

According to McGuireWoods, rulemakings are underway, and the direction is toward clearer expectations for response capability, telemetry, and interconnection staging. Baker Botts notes that behind-the-meter netting and generator–load co-location will draw added scrutiny, which matters for sites paired with gas peakers that seek rapid curtailment and faster interconnection timelines.

The practical response may be modular footprints and staged buildouts that either remain below the statutory threshold or deploy capacity in tranches with explicit demand-response commitments.

Operations will also change as market plumbing evolves. ERCOT plans to move real-time to RTC+B on Dec. 5, 2025, which improves dispatch granularity and should benefit fast load that can follow sub-hourly signals.

Potomac Economics has documented how ORDC scarcity adders and brief real-time spikes concentrate a large share of economics into a small set of hours. That is where controllable demand can earn by dropping when prices climb and by selling ancillary capability across the rest of the day.

The global picture points in the same direction.

Japan’s renewable curtailments rose 38% year over year to 1.77 TWh in the first eight months of 2025 as nuclear restarts reduced flexibility.

China’s first-half 2025 curtailment rates climbed to 6.6% for solar and 5.7% for wind as new builds outpaced grid integration. Gridcog’s analysis shows the spread and depth of negative prices across European midday hours, reinforcing that the “duck-curve dividend” is no longer a California-only feature.

In the United States, wholesale averages trend higher in 2025 in most regions, yet volatility persists. That leaves value in price-responsive curtailment even where energy-only averages appear tame.

Project archetypes reflect these incentives. A roughly 25 MW modular mining site powered by flared gas reached full energization in April 2025, according to Data Center Dynamics, illustrating a waste-to-work pathway that converts otherwise flared gas into power for curtailable demand.

CAISO’s recurring midday curtailment strengthens the case for renewable co-location with load that runs through surplus hours and idles at evening peaks. Gas-peaker co-location remains relevant in markets with rapid ramping needs, although SB6 requires projects to plan for telemetry and netting requirements during interconnection.

Hardware and environmental policy shape the capex and off-grid thesis from another angle. The United States doubled Section 301 tariffs on certain Chinese semiconductors to 50% in 2025, raising the prospect that ASIC import costs rise materially depending on classification.

The Inflation Reduction Act’s Waste Emissions Charge for methane ramps from $900 per ton in 2024 to $1,200 in 2025 and $1,500 in 2026, although implementation has been contested. Regional hashrate placement will reflect these cross-currents.

Cambridge’s 2025 industry report shows the United States as the center of gravity, with surveyed firms representing nearly half of implied network hashrate.

New ultra-large sites in ERCOT face higher process overhead and explicit performance obligations, which can steer incremental growth toward modular builds, SPP and MISO South, Canada, or off-grid gas until interconnection timelines and rule clarity catch up.

For miners and grids, the math is simple, then the details matter.

Revenue per MWh is a function of hashprice and efficiency, so the run-price threshold moves with Luxor’s curve and fleet mix.

Uptime becomes a choice variable, not a constraint, as long as curtailment aligns with high-price intervals and ancillary capacity offers are qualified and dispatched.

The operational playbook is to submit load as a controllable resource, earn when the grid is tight by dropping, and run when energy is cheap enough to beat the marginal run price.

In markets where midday surplus is routine, curtailment stops being waste and becomes the runway for demand that can be dispatched like generation.



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Why Ethereum’s current sell-off may be its most bullish signal


Ethereum is undergoing its most significant transition since its August peak.

A sharp, double-digit correction of more than 35% since Oct. 6 has triggered a crisis of conviction, ripping through the speculative layers of the market and forcing a wave of liquidations.

However, the on-chain story is not a simple collapse. It is a large-scale rebalancing of who controls the ETH supply.

The data shows a classic deleveraging event colliding with a structural accumulation trend. This comes as long-term holders sell and leveraged traders are purged, resulting in a new class of institutional treasuries that are indifferent to the short-term panic, methodically absorbing ETH’s supply.

Old ETH holders sell as leverage unwinds

For the first time since early 2021, Ethereum’s older investor cohorts are distributing at scale.

According to Glassnode, ETH holders with a 3-10 year holding period have increased their realized spending to more than 45,000 ETH per day on a 90-day moving average, a level not seen since February 2021.

Ethereum Long-term Holders
Ethereum Long-term Holders (Source: Glassnode)

This cohort represents some of the earliest and most profitable ETH investors. While their elevated spending does not signal panic, it rather reflects seasoned investors taking profits amid volatility.

A prime example is the recent activity from an Ethereum ICO participant. On Nov. 17, blockchain analysis platform Lookonchain reported that 0x9a67, after more than ten years of dormancy, transferred 200 ETH (approximately $ 626,000).

This wallet had invested just $310 in the 2014 ICO to receive 1,000 ETH, making the current holding worth over $3.13 million, representing a 10,097-fold return.

Meanwhile, this “old money” profit-taking is compounded by the catastrophic unwinding of leveraged positions.

For context, prominent trader Machi was liquidated again as the price dropped, contributing to his total trading losses of over $18.9 million. In a sign of the market’s intense volatility, he immediately reopened a new long position on 3,075 ETH ($9.6M) with a liquidation price just below the current market, illustrating the high-risk, chaotic nature of the speculative unwinding.

Adding to the noise, other prominent figures, such as Arthur Hayes, were also seen selling.

The most significant event, however, involved the “66,000 ETH borrowed whale.”

Blockchain platform Onchain Lens reported that the entity’s high-leverage Aave V3 position came under intense pressure as prices fell, forcing a withdrawal of 199,720 ETH (about $632 million) to prevent forced liquidation.

The whale subsequently sent more than 44,000 ETH to Binance to close the position. Estimated losses exceed $70 million, marking one of the largest single risk-off events of this cycle.

Institutions absorb the supply

The other side of this redistribution is the emergence of institutional-grade buyers building large ETH treasuries. These are not traders but accumulators.

BitMine, a digital-asset treasury firm chaired by market strategist Tom Lee, has expanded its holdings to 3.5 million ETH. This represents 2.9% of the total ETH supply, placing the company more than halfway toward its goal of accumulating 5% of all circulating ETH.

BitMine is not a hedge fund trading cycles but an ETH-denominated corporate treasury. Its stated goal is to accumulate and stake its supply, transforming a passive balance sheet asset into a long-term, yield-generating powerhouse.

As a result, the firm has aggressively acquired its ETH holdings and is currently the largest public holder of the digital asset.

SharpLink, another growing ETH treasury, mirrors this strategy. The firm now holds 859,400 ETH (valued at $2.74 billion) and has earned more than 7,067 ETH in staking rewards since mid-2025.

Combined, BitMine and SharpLink now control over 4.35 million ETH. Their programmatic accumulation acts as a structural floor, permanently removing this supply from the volatile, liquid market and locking it into staking contracts.

Ethereum DATCOs Treasury CompaniesEthereum DATCOs Treasury Companies
BitMine and SharpLink ETH Holdings (Source: Strategic ETH Reserve)

However, this methodical institutional accumulation contrasts sharply with a wave of retail-driven exits.

According to SoSo Value data, spot Ethereum ETFs are on track for their largest monthly outflow on record, with more than $1.2 billion withdrawn this month.

Ethereum ETF FlowsEthereum ETF Flows
Ethereum ETF Flows (Source: SoSo Value)

This contraction has resulted in a mixed, disorderly liquidity landscape.

ETF investors, who are often more reactive to price, are selling into fear. Leveraged traders are being forcibly liquidated. Simultaneously, long-term holders are taking multi-cycle profits, providing the very supply that new institutional treasuries are programmatically absorbing for long-term use.

This interplay is why the recent correction feels chaotic, even as the underlying mechanics of transfer from weak, reactive hands to strong, programmatic ones remain consistent with prior cycle resets.

The Supercycle Thesis

Lee, BitMine’s executive chair, argues the turmoil is a necessary phase of an emerging ETH “supercycle.” Lee draws a direct parallel to Bitcoin, which he first recommended to Fundstrat clients in 2017 at a price of around $1,000.

“We believe ETH is embarking on that same Supercycle,” Lee stated. “To have gained from Bitcoin’s 100x run, one had to stomach existential moments. [So, current crypto prices] simply discounting a massive future.”

That “massive future,” according to the institutional thesis, is Ethereum’s established role as the primary settlement layer of the global economy.

The bullish case for firms like BitMine and SharpLink is simple: Ethereum is the only chain where every major crypto economy actually settles.

The entire ecosystems of stablecoins, Layer 2 scaling solutions (L2s), perpetual derivatives, real-world assets (RWAs), and institutional custody flows all plug back into and create demand for ETH.

Ethereum Demand vs PriceEthereum Demand vs Price
Ethereum’s Economic Demand vs ETH Price (Source: Token Terminal)

Lee views the sharp retracements not as structural failures, but as characteristic of an asset transitioning from pure speculation to macro relevance.

Taken together, the data reveal a market undergoing a large-scale, post-Merge restructuring. This is not a simple drawdown. It is a redistribution event where supply migrates from short-term, reactive hands to long-term, structurally committed ones.

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Only these 4 cryptocurrencies are in profit from the Top 50 over the last week



Bitcoin fell around 13% over the past week as rate-cut expectations weakened and ETF outflows deepened, leaving only four top-50 tokens in positive territory, as idiosyncratic catalysts outweighed macroeconomic pressure.

The shift in rate expectations and fund withdrawals was echoed broadly across majors, with over $3 billion exiting digital-asset investment products over the last three weeks.

The negative tape placed a higher bar on asset-specific news, and ZEC, XMR, UNI, and newcomer ASTER were the only names that cleared it.

Rank Name Ticker Price 1h % 24h % 7d %
12 Zcash ZEC $671.41 2.33% 5.02% 9.81%
18 Monero XMR $418.24 0.47% 5.74% 5.29%
25 Uniswap UNI $7.77 1.57% 5.93% 11.82%
34 Aster (DEX) ASTER $1.23 1.05% 1.95% N/A

Drivers behind each token’s outperformance

Zcash held its bid going into its next halving.

Additional bullish momentum also emerged after Electric Coin Company released its Q4 2025 roadmap, which focused on privacy tooling through Zashi and protocol updates, extending the late-October rerating that coincided with rising interest in shielded usage.

The roadmap provided a clear line of deliverables at a time when privacy-oriented tokens were outperforming. The rotation is seen as a shift in leadership within the privacy cohort, positioning ZEC’s optional privacy design as more workable for regulated venues than default-private assets.

The interaction between transparent and shielded pools continues to anchor ZEC in compliance discussions, which in turn affects expectations for future liquidity access.

Forward-looking metrics, such as the shielded supply share and Zashi’s active-wallet trajectory, now serve as barometers for determining whether the token can maintain its role in the privacy narrative as the roadmap progresses.

Monero rose in tandem with the sector’s rotation, supported by renewed attention to its predictable tail-emission model, which has yielded a stable 0.6 XMR per block since 2022.

According to The Monero Project, the schedule implies a daily issuance of roughly 432 XMR, a known baseline that appeals to market participants who emphasize transparent supply paths during periods of tightening liquidity. The persistence of this model influences miner inventories, with tail-emission predictability shaping expectations for sell-side pressure during drawdowns.

Regulatory divergence remains a counterweight; coverage has repeatedly noted that default privacy introduces listing constraints, leaving XMR exposed to potential venue pressure even when sector narratives strengthen. That tension continues to shape the token’s reflexivity relative to ZEC whenever demand for privacy accelerates.

Uniswap’s UNI advanced on a structural catalyst that directly links protocol performance to tokenholder economics. Uniswap Labs and the Uniswap Foundation published the UNIfication proposal outlining activation of protocol fees, a UNI burn, and new alignment mechanisms between governance layers.

The proposal marked a shift from UNI’s role as a pure governance asset toward a model where fee flows and burns may accrue value if the community authorizes specific parameters. Elevated DEX activity reinforced the rerate; DeFiLlama data shows Uniswap continues to hold the largest venue share, keeping fee potential central to valuation discussions.

The governance sequence, forum debate, on-chain vote, and eventual fee-epoch scheduling now form a short-term catalyst calendar.

Back-of-the-envelope modeling gained traction after the proposal. Applying the standard formula, the annualized value of UNI equals the average daily volume multiplied by the chosen fee rate, multiplied by 365, and then by the share allocated to holders or burned.

Using scenarios derived from recent DeFiLlama ranges, a base case featuring around $5 billion of daily volume with a 7.5 basis-point fee and a 50% allocation implies roughly $684 million per year. A higher-volume, higher-take scenario can push well into the billion-dollar range, while a muted case still produces nine-figure output.

These figures are conditional on governance outcomes, but they illustrate why the market began treating UNI as a fee-linked asset instead of a passive governance claim.

ASTER, a newly ranked top-50 token, advanced as reported volumes on CoinMarketCap exceeded $1 billion alongside the token’s positioning as a multi-chain DEX with both spot and perpetual trading routed through its own chain.

Market interest centered on its combined aggregator and L1 model, which entered the top-50 cohort during a period of elevated DEX usage across the sector. Growth metrics for ASTER remain preliminary; disclosure depth across sources varies, and volumes require corroboration with independent dashboards as they are developed.

The current focus is whether initial activity converts into retained volumes and sustainable fee generation rather than incentive-driven spikes, a pattern observed across earlier DEX launches.

Why these four tokens broke from broader market trends

The shared driver across all four tokens was the presence of clear catalysts during a risk-off week, when most large caps traded in line with macroeconomic conditions. Privacy formed a counter-cyclical narrative that aided ZEC and XMR as fund outflows weighed on benchmarks.

UNI benefited from a concrete governance proposal that potentially alters the token’s economic structure. ASTER benefited from a sector-specific tailwind, driven by the emphasis on on-chain trading, which remained active even as prices declined.

According to DeFiLlama, DEX volumes stayed elevated, reinforcing the notion that market participants rotated toward protocols with transparent fee paths or early-stage growth momentum.

Macro conditions remain central to the backdrop. The rate environment and ETF flows continue to guide broader market correlations, making any additional drawdown a potential amplifying force for privacy tokens while creating challenges for launch-phase assets if activity moderates.

Governance timing will dictate UNI’s next phase, and roadmap execution will shape ZEC’s position within the privacy cohort. Monero’s supply schedule is steady, so venue accessibility becomes the key variable during regulatory shifts.

For ASTER, independent validation of volumes and integration progress will determine whether the listing spike evolves into persistent market share.

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Bitcoin is built for exactly this moment as global money supply explodes to $142 trillion



As Bitcoin and Ethereum stumble through their worst year in recent memory, and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index tumbles into extreme fear, it may be time for crypto investors to return to first principles.

The Bitcoin long-term thesis hasn’t changed, and if you believe it’s inevitably going up, you’ll buy at any price.

As macro analyst James Lavish points out, the real story isn’t about price swings or fleeting sentiment. It’s the unyielding march of governments running deficits, central banks flooding the system with liquidity, and institutions quietly accumulating for the long haul. He commented:

“Seeing many bad takes on Bitcoin this morning, so perhaps we should return to first principles: Governments will keep overspending, global liquidity will keep expanding, and long-term, Bitcoin will reflect inflation that continues ad infinitum.”

In this environment, the Bitcoin long-term thesis is not tied to short-term moves but to foundational macro trends. We’re witnessing a parallel expansion of government debt and fiat debasement playing out in front of our eyes. And that makes Bitcoin more relevant than ever.​

Fiscal discipline remains a distant memory for most major economies. The United States reported a budget deficit of $1.775 trillion in fiscal 2025, with government expenditures climbing to $7.01 trillion by year’s end.

President Trump has kept large-scale stimulus on the table, with renewed proposals for $2,000 direct checks to households illustrating why elevated spending pressures have become a structural fixture of American fiscal policy in 2025.

Global liquidity expanding

Liquidity is surging worldwide. The broad money supply hit an astounding $142 trillion by September 2025, a 446% increase since 2000.

Year-over-year growth reached 7%, with a 9.1% spike so far in 2025. China now boasts $47.1 trillion in circulating money, while the US has $22.2 trillion.

Central banks across developed markets continue to flood the financial system, stretching the global monetary base to new highs. Liquidity through the roof has become an enduring macro feature.​

The recent downturn hasn’t discouraged institutional investors either. In fact, continuous investment shows rising conviction. Harvard, one of the world’s most closely watched endowments, tripled its Bitcoin ETF holdings in the third quarter of 2025, bringing its position to $443 million.

This marks a massive 257% increase, making IBIT Harvard’s top allocation ahead of traditional blue-chip assets. As volatility shakes the retail base, institutional adoption shows the broader trend. The Bitcoin long-term thesis for digital assets is still intact.​

Bitcoin will reflect ‘inflation that continues ad infinitum’

Every expansionary policy, every deficit funding, and every round of stimulus underscores a simple reality: inflation is here to stay, and Bitcoin will reflect that.

Bitcoin’s value proposition strengthens with each tick higher in the global money supply. When the global money supply surges past $140 trillion, and the world’s biggest economies keep printing. Bitcoin isn’t just a speculative asset; it becomes a hedge against infinite debasement.

Faced with waves of negative commentary after every dip, Bitcoin’s fundamentals deserve focus. From outsized government deficits to ceaseless liquidity creation, the backdrop hasn’t changed. Governments will keep overspending.

Global liquidity will keep expanding. Bitcoin’s future remains anchored in inflation that continues ad infinitum. As The Wolf of All Streets’ Scott Melker states:

“If you believe that bitcoin price is going much higher over time, then it makes almost no difference whether you buy at 94k, 97k or 100k. You just buy.”

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How Trump-era reforms couldnt stop crypto’s epic $1.1 trillion crash


When Donald Trump entered the White House in January, crypto markets expected alignment between policy and price.

The new administration delivered on some of its promises by providing regulatory clarity, friendlier oversight, and the strongest institutional welcome Bitcoin had ever received.

As a result, spot ETFs surged in assets, corporate treasuries accumulated BTC, and industry leaders framed 2025 as the beginning of a structural bull cycle.

However, as the year progressed, it became one of the most violent market downturns the sector has seen. Bitcoin has fallen back below its starting point for Trump’s second term, Ethereum has erased months of gains, and the broader crypto market has shed more than $1.1 trillion in just 41 days.

Crypto Market
Crypto Market Capitalization on a Downtrend Slope (Source: The Kobeissi Letter)

Due to this, industry experts have said the current selloff is not simply another correction. It is a structural breakdown triggered by macroeconomic shocks, amplified by leverage, and intensified by the capitulation of long-term holders.

This unraveling of the contradiction defines the story of this market cycle: policy support proved decisive, but the mechanics of leverage, liquidity, and macro shocks proved stronger.

The tariff shock

The selloff’s first catalyst came from Washington, not from crypto policy.

Trump’s tariff expansion on China, announced in early October, triggered a rapid reassessment of global risk appetite. The move created immediate turbulence across equities, commodities, and foreign exchange markets, but crypto’s reaction was especially sharp.

Leverage made sure of that.

Bitcoin and Ethereum had entered October with strong conviction of an uptrend supported by their elevated open interest and aggressive long positioning.

However, Trump’s macro shock hit that structure like a pressure point. The initial selloff forced over-leveraged traders to unwind their positions, which in turn pushed prices lower, triggering further liquidations.

As a result, the Oct. 10 cascade produced the first-ever $20,000 daily Bitcoin candlestick, accompanied by a staggering $20 billion in liquidations.

Even after the initial panic subsided, the structural damage persisted as liquidity thinned, volatility increased, and the market became hypersensitive to incremental selling pressure.

Speaking on that market impact, Chris Burniske, a partner at Placerholder VC, said:

“[I am] convinced the last [Oct. 10] massacre broke crypto for a while – hard to quickly develop a sustained bid, after such a meltdown. This cycle has been disappointing for most, which can paralyze action as people hope for bluer skies, or former ATHs.”

So, what began as a macro policy decision morphed into a mechanically driven downward spiral.

Shutdown chaos magnifies pain

If tariffs were the spark, the US government shutdown that followed became the accelerant of the market collapse.

Lasting a record 43 days, the shutdown tightened liquidity across traditional markets, undermining risk appetite and reducing trading depth across futures and derivatives desks.

Crypto was especially vulnerable. Thin liquidity amplified price swings, forcing derivatives traders to unwind positions amid widening spreads and reduced market-maker activity.

Moreover, the US shutdown also disrupted macro expectations. Investors who anticipated policy stability instead faced uncertainty, and funding markets tightened just as crypto markets were already destabilized by forced selling.

This dual shock of tariffs plus shutdown created a feedback loop where lower liquidity increased volatility, and volatility further reduced liquidity.

These developments occurred despite the consensus expectation that reopening government operations would ease pressure. However, when the shutdown eventually ended on Nov. 13, markets barely reacted, as structural damage had already begun to take root by then.

Leverage, whale Distribution, and institutional outflows

Another significant factor contributing to the severity of the market downturn was the underlying mechanics.

Crypto’s leverage profile, which has millions of traders taking on positions levered 20×, 50×, even 100×, has made the market extraordinarily fragile.

For context, analysts at The Kobeissi Letter noted that even a 2% intraday move is enough to wipe out traders who are 100 times leveraged. So, when millions of accounts are positioned at those levels, a domino effect is inevitable.

The analysts further noted that between Oct. 6 and the time of writing, the market experienced three separate days with over $1 billion in liquidations and multiple sessions exceeding $500 million.

So, every liquidation day triggered further forced selling, pulling prices lower and producing a mechanical sell-off that did not require sentiment to deteriorate further.

This mechanical pressure was intensified by institutional outflows, which began quietly in mid-to-late October. This month, Bitcoin ETFs have experienced more than $2 billion in outflows, marking their second-largest negative month since their launch in 2024.

Bitcoin ETF Monthly FlowsBitcoin ETF Monthly Flows
Bitcoin ETF Monthly Flows (Source: SoSo Value)

This has removed a key layer of buy-side support at the exact moment leverage was unwinding.

But perhaps the most decisive force came from BTC whales and long-term holders.

According to CryptoQuant, long-term holders have sold ~815,000 BTC in the past 30 days, marking the most significant wave of distribution since January 2024.

Bitcoin Whales SellingBitcoin Whales Selling
Bitcoin Long-term Holders Selling (Source: CryptoQuant)

Their selling has choked off any upside, and with ETFs now experiencing outflows rather than inflows, the market is caught between two powerful forces: institutional money stepping back and early Bitcoin adopters selling into weakness.

Together, they have created a wall of persistent and overwhelming sell pressure.

What do we learn from this?

The lesson of the cycle is unavoidable, considering Bitcoin entered 2025 with more political, regulatory, and institutional momentum than at any point in its history.

The administration was friendly. Regulators were aligned. ETFs had normalized Bitcoin for mainstream investors. Corporations were adding BTC to balance sheets at a record pace.

Yet the market still plunged.

This year’s drawdown has shown that crypto has finally matured into a macro-sensitive asset class.

The industry no longer moves in isolation. It no longer operates independently of traditional financial cycles. Policy support matters, but macro shocks, liquidity tightening, leverage dynamics, and whale behavior matter more.

The selloff also marks a turning point in how risk is priced. Crypto is entering a phase where structural forces, including liquidity conditions, institutional flows, derivatives positioning, and whale distribution, outweigh the optimism of political messaging or the psychological comfort of ETF adoption.

Essentially, the most pro-crypto administration in US history did not shield the market from its deepest structural vulnerabilities. Instead, it revealed them.

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TRON and RealOpen Launch $50,000 Holiday Campaign to Power Luxury Real Estate Purchases with USDT on TRON


Disclosure: This is a paid article. Readers should conduct further research prior to taking any actions. Learn more ›

Los Angeles, California, November 17, 2025RealOpen, the leading platform for buying real estate with crypto, today announced the launch of a 50,000 USDT “Fast Moves, Fast Payments” Holiday Campaign in collaboration with TRON, the leading settlement layer for stablecoin transactions. The holiday campaign offers up to 50,000 USDT in rewards for eligible U.S. homebuyers who purchase real estate through RealOpen using USDT on the TRON blockchain.

Introducing Blockchain Speed to Real Estate

RealOpen combines the reliability of traditional real estate with the speed and efficiency of crypto. Through its platform, buyers can purchase any property on the market and fund directly with digital assets—no need for the seller to accept crypto. The company also promotes select luxury and celebrity listings, including Gene Simmons’ Beverly Hills estate, showcasing how crypto funding can power seamless, high-value property purchases. In collaboration with TRON, RealOpen is introducing blockchain innovation to the luxury property market through a holiday campaign.

Launching amid growing mainstream adoption of stablecoins, the TRON x RealOpen campaign highlights how crypto transactions are now being integrated into the real estate ecosystem. Together, they’re demonstrating how USDT on TRON enables secure, transparent, and near-instant closings—proving that closing on your dream home at crypto speed isn’t the future, it’s here.

It’s not just theory. RealOpen’s first USDT-on-TRON closing in Pennsylvania earlier this year marked the start of a broader shift, with additional on-chain transactions and even builders entering the space. Pearl HomesHunter’s Point—a net-zero master-planned community, located on Florida’s Gulf Coast—now accepts crypto-backed offers through RealOpen. The shift from innovation to everyday utility is already underway.

“Fast Moves, Fast Payments” Campaign

Beginning on November 17 and through the duration of the campaign, eligible homebuyers in the United States can earn rewards when purchasing qualifying properties through RealOpen using USDT on the TRON blockchain:

  • Up to 10,000 USDT for properties valued at $2,000,000 or more
  • Up to 5,000 USDT for properties valued between $500,000 and $2,000,000

Rewards for eligible buyers will be distributed on a first-come, first-served basis until the total 50,000 USDT cap is reached. Terms and conditions apply. For complete terms and eligibility details, please visit: realopen.com/trondao/fast-moves-fast-payments.

TRON stands at the forefront of blockchain adoption, processing more than $23 billion in USDT transactions every day. With around 3.37 million active wallets generating over 10 million transactions daily, the network continues to demonstrate unmatched scale and reliability. As of November 2025, TRON hosts over 344 million user accounts, has facilitated more than 12 billion transactions, and secures over $24 billion in total value locked. TRON has become one of the world’s leading settlement layers for real world payments. Its advanced infrastructure allows buyers to fund property purchases directly from their TRON wallets, quickly, securely, and without reliance on centralized intermediaries.

The collaboration between TRON and RealOpen highlights the expanding role of blockchain technology within traditional sectors such as real estate. By combining TRON’s established blockchain infrastructure with RealOpen’s platform for real-world property transactions, the collaboration demonstrates how digital assets can be used securely and efficiently in the real world. The initiative reflects a shared commitment to advancing innovation, transparency, and accessibility in the global real estate market.

About RealOpen

RealOpen is the easiest and most efficient way for high-net-worth crypto holders to purchase real estate. The company bridges digital assets and property transactions, validating on-chain funds, converting crypto to fiat at closing, and enabling fast, seamless funding. RealOpen partners with leading builders, brokers, and crypto ecosystems to bring real-world asset ownership into the Web3 era—where buying a home can move as fast as the blockchain itself.

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Media Contact:
John Bauer
[email protected]

About TRON DAO

TRON DAO is a community-governed DAO dedicated to accelerating the decentralization of the internet via blockchain technology and dApps.

Founded in September 2017 by H.E. Justin Sun, the TRON blockchain has experienced significant growth since its MainNet launch in May 2018. Until recently, TRON hosted the largest circulating supply of USD Tether (USDT) stablecoin, which currently exceeds $76 billion. As of November 2025, the TRON blockchain has recorded over 344 million in total user accounts, more than 12 billion in total transactions, and over $24 billion in total value locked (TVL), based on TRONSCAN. Recognized as the global settlement layer for stablecoin transactions and everyday purchases with proven success, TRON is “Moving Trillions, Empowering Billions.”

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Media Contact
Yeweon Park
[email protected]

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