People prefer digital banks over crypto wallets: Can a 9% return on holdings change reality?


Digital wallets won the payments war. By mid-2025, around 65% of US adults used them, accounting for 39% of e-commerce and 16% of in-store transactions.

Apple Pay and PayPal are boring infrastructure now, the default way millions move money without thinking about it.

Web3 wallets are not. A September Mercuryo and Protocol Theory study of 3,428 US adults found that only 13% consider crypto wallets intuitive, and just 12% say they fit naturally into how they manage money.

For comparison, 75% and 64% say the same about traditional digital wallets. The gap is not marginal, but is structural. Most Americans have never seen a Web3 wallet in real life, and this week saw two direct attempts to close that gap.

Aave launched a savings app offering up to 9% APY with balance protection, with a $1 million limit. Meanwhile, Mastercard expanded its Crypto Credential system to self-custody wallets on Polygon, replacing hex addresses with verified usernames.

Both borrow heavily from mainstream finance UX, high-yield savings accounts, KYC-verified aliases, and both bet that making DeFi feel less foreign will pull in the wallet-curious majority still sitting on the sidelines.

The question is whether better UX alone can move a 13% intuitiveness score, or whether the problem runs deeper than interface polish and headline yields.

The perception problem

The Mercuryo data shows wallets stratified by income and familiarity. More than half of Americans earning over $100,000 now own crypto, compared with roughly one in four earning under $40,000.

Higher earners are nearly three times more likely to use self-custody wallets. Lower-income users cluster in transactional corridors, such as remittance corridors and Bitcoin ATMs, where fees can reach 15% to 20%.

The researchers frame this as crypto quietly entrenching inequality rather than solving it.

That skew matters because it reveals Web3 wallets as specialized tools for the affluent and technically confident, not mass-market infrastructure.

Meanwhile, digital wallets crossed into the mainstream by doing the opposite: they abstracted away complexity, required no new mental model, and plugged directly into existing bank accounts and cards.

PayPal does not ask users to manage seed phrases or understand gas. Apple Pay does not expose public-key cryptography. Web3 wallets do, and the Mercuryo study suggests most people find that cognitively foreign and intimidating.

The adoption ceiling is not about awareness. Crypto ownership has risen steadily. The ceiling is about every day fit. Only 16% of respondents have ever witnessed a Web3 wallet transaction in person, and many describe addresses and seed phrases as clunky and anxiety-inducing.

It is not possible to normalize something that still feels like a subculture ritual.

Digital wallets vs Web3 wallets
Digital wallets outpace Web3 wallets across all adoption metrics, with 75% finding traditional wallets intuitive versus just 13% for crypto wallets.Tentar novamente

Aave wraps DeFi in a savings-account shell

Aave’s new app tries to fix this by hiding the protocol entirely. The iOS app positions itself as a retail savings product paying up to 9% APY through a mix of base yield and task-based bonuses for identity verification, auto-savings, and referrals.

The marketing explicitly compares this to traditional savings: US accounts average roughly 0.4% APY, while high-yield accounts cluster in the 3%-4% range.

Independent banking data confirms that top high-yield savings rates sit around 4% to 5%, while the broader average is closer to 0.2%.

Aave also promises up to $1 million in balance protection, marketed as coverage far above the FDIC’s $250,000 cap.

Follow-up reporting clarifies this is commercial insurance specific to the custodial app, not FDIC deposit insurance or Aave’s on-chain safety module, and the provider remains undisclosed.

Technically, users do not control keys. Deposits sit in ERC-4337 smart accounts managed by an Aave guardian multisig, with passkeys and session keys abstracting away seed phrases entirely.

That architecture lets Aave strip out the “scary” parts, gas, contract interaction, private-key custody, and deliver instant withdrawals, support for over 12,000 banks and cards, and a UI that looks identical to a fintech savings app.

Users see projected earnings, recurring deposits, and a balance. They do not see Ethereum, lending pools, or transaction logs.

It is a classic “CeDeFi” trade-off, with custodial risk and potential censorship at the UX layer in exchange for zero friction.

The app works like a bank because, functionally, it operates like one. The difference is that the yield engine runs on Aave’s battle-tested lending protocol rather than fractional-reserve banking, and the “bank” cannot lend customers’ deposits to other borrowers without transparent on-chain collateralization.

For the 87% of Americans who do not find Web3 wallets intuitive, this might be the only version of DeFi they will ever tolerate. The open question is whether this path grows wallet literacy or recreates banking rails on-chain with better rates.

Mastercard attacks the addressing problem

Mastercard’s Crypto Credential expansion targets a different UX friction: the fear of getting it wrong.
Sending funds to a long hex string carries obvious anxiety for mainstream users accustomed to Venmo handles and email-based payments.

Mastercard, Mercuryo, and Polygon now extend Crypto Credential to self-custody wallets, issuing human-readable aliases that map to verified wallets on Polygon.

Users complete KYC with Mercuryo, receive a username, and can mint a soulbound token that signals their wallet participates in Travel Rule-compliant transfers.

The goal is to make sending crypto “as intuitive as fiat transfers” by replacing addresses with verified names while giving apps a standard way to route and validate transactions.

This directly attacks the cognitive burden Mercuryo’s research highlights. Aliases make the blockchain layer invisible.

They also bolt on more KYC and compliance infrastructure, bringing self-custody closer to the feel of regulated fintech, even as users still hold the keys.

That could be a feature for the segment most likely to adopt: affluent, compliance-conscious users already comfortable with Apple Pay, usernames, and fraud monitoring.

The system assumes mainstream users want Web3 to feel like Web2 payments, just with better settlement and portability guarantees.

That assumption may prove correct for the upper-middle-class cohort already inclined toward digital wallets. It does less for people paying 20% fees at strip-mall Bitcoin ATMs or for users who valued crypto precisely because it did not require KYC gatekeepers.

Two adoption curves that have not converged

Digital wallets became normal by being invisible. They required no new behavior, carried familiar branding, and worked everywhere cards worked.

Web3 wallets remain specialized tools because they expose the underlying machinery, addresses, keys, gas, transaction finality, and demand that users understand concepts most have no reason to learn.

Aave’s app and Mastercard’s aliases try to close that gap by borrowing UX patterns from banking and Big Tech.

Aave wraps a lending protocol in a high-yield savings interface with insurance-style messaging and custodial simplicity.

Mastercard wraps wallet addresses in verified usernames with KYC and compliance rails baked in. Both trade off some of the decentralization’s promises, censorship resistance, and permissionless access, for mainstream legibility.

That trade may move the needle for wallet-curious savers and traders who already use fintech apps and want yield without learning Solidity. It may pull in the segment that finds 9% APY compelling but finds MetaMask intimidating.

It will not, by itself, shift the 13% intuitiveness figure if the deeper problems are cost, trust, and access rather than interface polish.

The Mercuryo data suggests crypto’s UX crisis is also a class crisis. Affluent users get sleek apps, verified aliases, and insured yields. Lower-income users get predatory ATM fees and remittance corridors.

If Aave and Mastercard succeed, they will likely grow at the top of that distribution first, making Web3 more palatable to people who already love Apple Pay and Robinhood.

Whether they crack the broader adoption problem depends on whether mainstream users actually want what Web3 offers once the parts that make it Web3 are removed.

A 9% yield is compelling until regulators force it down to 4%. A verified username is convenient until it becomes a chokepoint.

At that point, users are left asking whether they built a better savings account or just a more complicated one.

The 13% intuitiveness score is not a UX problem. It is a signal that most people do not yet see a reason to learn a new financial operating system.

Better yields and cleaner interfaces help, but they matter only if the system underneath delivers something traditional Rails cannot. Aave and Mastercard are betting it does. The next year will test whether the other 87% agree.

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Japan stimulus shakes global markets as yen sinks and crypto demand rises


Japan stimulus shakes global markets as yen sinks and crypto demand rises
  • Japan’s 40-year bond yield rose to 3.774% on Thursday.
  • Five-year CDS spreads reached 21.73 basis points on 20 November.
  • GDP contracted in Q3 2025 and inflation reached 3% in October.

Japan’s new stimulus package is setting off sharp reactions across global markets, with the yen sliding to its weakest point against the US dollar since January 2025 and long-term bond yields rising to record levels.

The cabinet approved a 21.3 trillion yen package on Friday, the largest since the COVID-19 period, and the announcement immediately shifted expectations in currency, bond, and crypto markets.

The scale of the support and the pressure on Japan’s finances are now pushing investors to reconsider how they assess global risk, particularly as liquidity conditions evolve.

Economic reset

The package focuses on easing price pressures, supporting growth, and strengthening defence and diplomatic capacity.

Local government grants and energy subsidies form a key part of the plan, and households are expected to receive around 7,000 yen in benefits over three months.

The government also aims to lift defence spending to 2% of GDP by 2027.

The supplementary budget is expected to pass before the end of the year, although the ruling coalition currently holds only 231 of 465 Lower House seats.

The support comes during a period of weakening growth.

Japan’s GDP fell 0.4% in the third quarter of 2025, equal to a 1.8% annualised contraction.

Inflation has remained above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for 43 months and reached 3% in October 2025.

Policymakers expect the new measures to lift real GDP by 24 trillion yen and generate a total economic impact near 265 billion dollars.

Rising market pressure

The fiscal boost has intensified concerns about long-term debt sustainability and market stress.

Five-year credit default swaps on Japanese government bonds reached 21.73 basis points on 20 November, the highest level in six months.

The country’s 40-year bond yield rose to 3.697% immediately after the announcement and climbed further to 3.774% on Thursday.

Every 100-basis-point increase in yields raises annual government financing costs by about 2.8 trillion yen, which has drawn attention to the strain on public finances over time.

Nikkei reports lingering caution about the continued use of fiscal stimulus beyond emergencies, adding another layer to investor concerns.

This debate has become more relevant as the yield curve shifts and Japan’s borrowing costs rise.

These movements are also important for the 20 trillion dollar yen-carry trade. Investors typically borrow yen at low rates and invest in higher-yielding markets overseas.

A mix of higher yields and sudden currency moves can force unwinding.

Historical data show a 0.55 correlation between yen-carry trade reversals and S&P 500 declines, which adds another source of volatility.

Yen reaction

The yen dropped sharply after the stimulus announcement, prompting speculation about future currency stability and the potential for intervention.

October exports rose 3.6% year on year, but the increase was not enough to ease concerns about broader economic pressure.

The scale of fiscal support and the persistence of inflation have become central factors in how global markets interpret Japan’s next steps.

Crypto shift

These conditions are feeding directly into crypto markets.

A weaker yen tends to drive Japanese investors toward alternative assets, including Bitcoin, especially during periods of rising liquidity.

Experts have noted that Japan’s decision adds to a global environment that already includes potential US Federal Reserve easing, Treasury cash movements, and continued liquidity support from China.

Together, these factors are creating conditions that could lift crypto demand into 2026.

At the same time, higher long-term yields pose a risk.

If yen-carry trades unwind quickly, institutions may be forced to sell assets, including Bitcoin, to meet liquidity needs.



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Coinbase rolls out Ethereum-backed loans for users to borrow USDC without selling


Coinbase roll out Ethereum-backed loans for users to borrow USDC without selling
  • Ether holders on the exchange can borrow up to $1M in USDC using ETH as collateral.
  • That ensures access to liquidity/cash without selling their holdings.
  • The service is available in all US states, excluding New York.

Leading exchange Coinbase has introduced a new feature that will likely reduce selling pressure amid the current broader crypto market turmoil.

The trading platform has launched Ethereum-backed loans, allowing users in most American states to access on-chain cash without offloading their holdings.

Notably, borrowers can use ETH assets as collateral and receive loans of up to $1,000,000 in USDC stablecoin.

The team has confirmed on X:

ETH-backed loans are here. You can borrow USDC against your Ethereum, unlocking liquidity without selling.

This move is vital for Ethereum holders who want liquidity without dumping their tokens.

Rather than selling ETH and possibly missing out on potential price gains, Coinbase users can leverage their balances while keeping them intact.

How do ETH-backed loans work?

The process is straightforward. Users deposit Ethereum on their Coinbase accounts as collateral to borrow USDC.

They receive back their collateral after repayment.

Meanwhile, customers will enjoy top-notch flexibility.

Individuals can borrow while maintaining exposure to their holdings, access funds almost instantly, and leverage USDC for various on-chain activities, including day-to-day expenses and trading.

Nevertheless, borrowers should consider the fact that Ethereum’s price movements can impact their loans.

For instance, a swift decline in the alt’s value could demand increasing collateral to avoid liquidation.

Why should you care?

Accessing cash online means selling assets for most cryptocurrency investors, even sometimes facing tax consequences.

Coinbase solves that through Ethereum-backed loans, offering access to liquidity without offloading assets.

The development reflects how cryptocurrency firms are expanding beyond trading services.

Most networks are integrating lending, borrowing, and earning solutions for their users as digital assets’ adoption continues.

Moreover, it confirmed Coinbase’s trust in Ethereum as a legitimate financial instrument, equal to real-world assets (like real estate and stocks) that can serve collateral purposes.

Notably, Coinbase introduced cryptocurrency-backed loans in mid-January this years, and starget with Bitcoin.

The goal was to give users control over their finances while ensuring safety, speed, and transparency.

The team emphasized:

Crypto-backed loans are another major step towards empowering our customers with greater control over their financial lives. Coinbase customers can now get easier, faster access to everyday financial services.

The new addition signals demand for such services as cryptocurrencies go mainstream.

ETH price outlook

The news comes as Ethereum battles overwhelming bearish sentiments.

It is trading at $2,837 after losing more than 3% and 13% the past day and week.

ETH should hold above the $2,800 support to prevent massive declines.

Ethereum requires massive trading volumes and renewed institutional interest, through ETFs, to recover from its current slumber.





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BTC Hides Bullish Twist in Crypto’s Fastest Bear Market


Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $80,600 on Friday, extending weekly losses to more than 10%. Its monthly drawdown has now reached 23%, the steepest decline since June 2022. The drop below $84,000 also pushed BTC to test the 100-week exponential moving average for the first time since October 2023, aligning exactly with the start of the current bull cycle.

Cryptocurrencies, Federal Reserve, Government, Bitcoin Price, Technology, Investments, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin one-week analysis. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin futures liquidations surpassed $1 billion, underscoring the severity of this downturn, described by the Kobeissi Letter as the “fastest bear market ever.”

Key takeaways:

  • Crypto market cap has erased 33% since October, marking a rapid structural unwind.

  • A record fund outflow and negative ETF flows signal persistent institutional selling pressure.

  • A major macroeconomic liquidity indicator (NFCI) is trending lower, historically preceding BTC rallies by four to six weeks.

Crypto market cap collapses as “structural” selling accelerates

Since Oct. 6, the total crypto market cap has fallen to $2.8 trillion from $4.2 trillion, a 33% drawdown. The Kobeissi Letter called it “one of the fastest-moving crypto bear markets ever,” with selling intensifying across all major sectors. The newsletter said digital asset investment products are reflecting the same stress, with crypto funds recording $2 billion in weekly outflows, the largest since February. 

Cryptocurrencies, Federal Reserve, Government, Bitcoin Price, Technology, Investments, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Crypto asset fund flows as a percentage of fund AUM. Source: Kobeissi letter/X

This marked the third consecutive week of net selling, resulting in total outflows of $3.2 billion over that period. Bitcoin accounted for the bulk of the withdrawals with $1.4 billion in redemptions, while Ether followed with $689 million, representing some of the biggest weekly losses either asset has seen in 2025.

Average daily outflows as a share of assets under management (AUM) hit all-time highs, dragging total AUM to $191 billion, down 27% from October. Analysts classified this as a clear structural decline, not just short-term panic.

US exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows worsen the pressure. Spot BTC ETF flows remain below zero, reinforcing the sell-off. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s spot ETF is on pace for its largest weekly outflow ever, close to surpassing the $1.17 billion record from February.

Cryptocurrencies, Federal Reserve, Government, Bitcoin Price, Technology, Investments, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
iShares Bitcoin Trust weekly netflows. Source: SoSoValue

Related: Bitcoin slump to $86K brings BTC closer to ‘max pain’ but great ‘discount’ zone

A macroeconomic shift could give Bitcoin a liquidity lead

While several analysts continued to call for a Bitcoin bottom based on technical charts and onchain data, Miad Kasravi took a different approach. Kasravi carried out a decade-long backtest of 105 financial indicators, indicating that the National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) is one of the few metrics that reliably leads Bitcoin by four to six weeks during major macroeconomic regime shifts. 

Cryptocurrencies, Federal Reserve, Government, Bitcoin Price, Technology, Investments, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, BlackRock
National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) data. Source: X

This dynamic was evident in October 2022, when easing financial conditions preceded a 94% rally, and again in July 2024, when tightening conditions signaled stress several weeks before Bitcoin surged from $50,000 to $107,000.

At the moment, NFCI sits at -0.52 and is trending lower. Historically, every 0.10 point decline in the index has aligned with roughly 15%–20% upside in Bitcoin, with a deeper move toward -0.60 typically marking an acceleration phase. December also introduces a key catalyst: the Federal Reserve’s plan to rotate mortgage-backed securities into Treasury bills. 

Kasravi noted that although it is not labeled Quantitative Easing (QE), the operation could inject liquidity in a similar way to the 2019 “not-QE” event that preceded a 40% Bitcoin rally.

If the NFCI continues to decline into mid-December, it would signal the early stages of a new liquidity expansion window. Based on the index’s consistent four-to–six week lead time during past regime shifts, Bitcoin’s next major cyclical move would align with early to mid-December 2025, offering a potentially significant inflection point for market participants tracking macroeconomic conditions.

Related: Bitcoin realized losses rise to FTX crash levels: Where is the bottom?

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.